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22/11/2023
COMMENT ISRAËL MÈNE LA GUERRE URBAINE À GAZA
La guerre que mène aujourd’hui Israël contre le Hamas est une guerre urbaine, ce qui signifie qu’elle répond à des règles d’engagement très spécifiques et produit obligatoirement un nombre important de victimes civiles (dites « collatérales »). Dictées par la nature du théâtre des opérations, ces règles sont impératives mais ces victimes et, dans le cas qui nous occupe, l’exploitation qui en est faite par la propagande du Hamas – relayée par des organisations extérieures disant défendre « la cause palestinienne » - sont évidemment de nature à brouiller la perception que le public peut avoir de cette guerre et à remettre en cause sa légitimité.
03/11/2023
HASSAN NASRALLAH CHOOSES TO MAINTAIN "STRATEGIC UNCERTAINTY”
In an hour-long speech marked by the ambiguity typical of Hezbollah, its leader Hassan Nasrallah threatened Israel and the United States, but without formally announcing that his movement was going to go to war. In short, it maintains a strategic ambiguity that forces the Hebrew state to maintain significant resources on its northern border.
03/11/2023
HASSAN NASRALLAH CHOISIT DE MAINTENIR « L’INCERTITUDE STRATÉGIQUE
Dans un discours d’une heure, frappé d’une ambiguïté assez typique du Hezbollah, son chef Hassan Nasrallah a menacé Israël et les Etats-Unis, mais sans formellement annoncer que son mouvement allait entrer dans la guerre. En bref, il maintient une ambiguïté stratégique qui oblige l’Etat hébreu à maintenir des moyens important sur sa frontière nord.
19/10/2023
GAZA HOSPITAL: HAMAS MANIPULATION FAILS
An explosion hit Gaza's Ahli Arab hospital on Tuesday evening, killing "several hundred people" according to Hamas. The terrorist organisation immediately accused the Israelis of deliberately bombing the hospital. Thirty-six hours later, it appears that Israel had nothing to do with the strike and that the death toll was probably (very) grossly exaggerated. But the damage is done. Welcome to Hybrid Warfare, in which the manipulation of information, Infowar, is a (lethal) weapon in its own right.
19/10/2023
HOPITAL DE GAZA : ECHEC D’UNE MANIPULATION DU HAMAS
Une explosion a touché, mardi soir, l’hôpital Ahli Arab de Gaza, faisant « plusieurs centaines de morts », selon les bilans fournis par le Hamas. L’organisation terroriste a immédiatement accusé les Israéliens d’avoir délibérément bombardé l’hôpital. Trente-six heures plus tard, il apparait qu’Israël n’a rien à voir avec cette frappe et que le bilan des pertes a probablement été (très) grossièrement exagéré. Mais le mal est fait. Bienvenue dans la Guerre hybride dans laquelle la manipulation de l’information, l’Infowar, est une arme (létale) à part entière.
18/10/2023
APRES LES ATTENTATS D’ARRAS ET DE BRUXELLES, LE RISQUE D’ATTENTATS « COPYCAT »
Dans les cafouillages qui ont suivi l’attentat de Bruxelles, celui qui a le plus frappé l’opinion publique belge est sans doute la divergence entre Flamands et Francophones sur l’ouverture des écoles. Mais y avait-il vraiment un risque que le terroriste s’attaque à des établissements scolaires ? Etant donné que le terroriste est mort, il est évidemment impossible de le savoir. Sauf si l’enquête révèle, par exemple, qu’il s’était livré à des repérages sur des écoles. Mais cette approche différenciée est effectivement très intéressante.
18/10/2023
THE RISK OF VIOLENCE AND TERRORISM LINKED TO THE WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS MAJOR ON A GLOBAL SCALE
The war between Israel and Hamas has already provoked numerous demonstrations and incidents around the world. The vast majority of these demonstrations are in support of the Palestinian cause and the incidents have targeted Jewish communities, but some have also targeted Muslims (as in the United States, where a 6-year-old boy was murdered by a man in his seventies who also seriously injured his mother).
18/10/2023
LE RISQUE DE VIOLENCES ET DE TERRORISME LIÉS À LA GUERRE AU PROCHE-ORIENT EST MAJEUR AU PLAN MONDIAL
La guerre entre Israël et le Hamas a déjà provoqué de très nombreuses manifestations et des incidents à travers le monde. En très grande majorité, ces manifestations interviennent en soutien à la cause palestinienne et les incidents visaient les communautés juives, mais certains ont également ont visé des musulmans (comme aux Etats-Unis ou un jeune garçon de 6 ans a été assassiné par un septuagénaire qui a également gravement blessé sa mère).
10/10/2023
ISRAEL : STATE OF THE PLAY AT 15:00 GMT, OCTOBER 10, 2023
The controversy over the failure of Israeli intelligence to detect Hamas's preparations, which lasted months, and the failure of the army to react quickly last Saturday (according to numerous local sources, civilians were left to fend for themselves for hours, or even a whole day, before the first soldiers arrived) has now spread to politics. Was Benjamin Netanyahu aware that a Hamas attack was being planned? According to an Egyptian intelligence official quoted by the American news agency AP. According to this source, the Egyptian intelligence services contacted the Israeli Prime Minister ten days before the surprise Hamas attack to warn him of "unusual developments".
07/10/2023
ISRAEL : STATE OF THE PLAY AT 11:00 GMT, OCTOBER 7, 2023
This briefing is based on public sources (OSINT) and official statements by Israeli authorities or Hamas spokespersons. Hamas launched a surprise and unprecedented attack against Israel this morning, with over 2,500 missiles/rockets fired from Gaza and a massive terrorist infiltration by land and sea. Yesterday was the 50th anniversary of the beginning of the “Kippur War” (October 6, 1973)
02/06/2023
THE USE OF LAW AND MILITARY JUSTICE TO REPRESS "POLITICAL DISSENT" IN LEBANON: THE OMAR HARFOUCH CASE
Omar Harfouch, a Lebanese national (but resident in France for 30 years) and long-time campaigner against corruption in Lebanon, was recently charged with "treason" for having "maintained contacts with Israeli nationals". An arrest warrant has been issued for him and he could face trial before a military court. This is an opportunity to take stock of legislation and practices that are all too often used to silence any voice of dissent in the Land of the Cedars.
02/06/2023
L’UTILISATION DE LA LOI ET DE LA JUSTICE MILITAIRE POUR RÉPRIMER LA « DISSIDENCE POLITIQUE » AU LIBAN : LE CAS OMAR HARFOUCH
Le ressortissant libanais (mais résidant en France depuis 30 ans) Omar Harfouch, militant de longue date contre la corruption au Liban, a été, récemment, accusé de « trahison » pour avoir « entretenu des contacts avec des ressortissants israéliens ». Il est l’objet d’un mandat d’arrêt et pourrait être jugé devant un tribunal militaire. L’occasion de faire le point sur une législation et une pratique trop souvent utilisée pour faire taire toute voix dissidente au pays des Cèdres.
27/11/2017
Quelques réflexions au sujet de la tragédie de Bir al-Abed
L’attentat commis contre une mosquée dans le petit village de Bir al-Abed (2500 habitants), non loin d’el-Arish, dans le Nord-Sinaï est effrayant à plus d’un titre. D’abord, bien entendu, il s’agit de la pire attaque terroriste de l’histoire égyptienne : samedi matin, le bilan, toujours provisoire, était de 305 morts (dont 27 enfants) et d’au moins 28 blessés. Il est un niveau auquel les chiffres se valent et il est vain de comparer ou de tenter d’établir un sinistre palmarès de l’horreur terroriste - un mort, bien entendu, c’est déjà un mort de trop – mais disons seulement, pour bien donner l’ampleur de cette tragédie que 305 morts, c’est, en une seule frappe, davantage de victimes que l’ensemble de celles tuées en Europe depuis le 7 janvier 2015 par le salafisme djihadiste.
15/06/2017
Germany and nuclear power: who lives by the sword, dies by the sword
In 2011, the German government imposed a tax on processing nuclear fuel amounting to 145 euros per gram to be paid by the nuclear producers. The decision has now been declared unconstitutional and forces the government to pay a 6.3 billion euro refund.
07/06/2017
German working parents’ struggle for Kindergarten places
In the last few years, German working parents have had to fight to get their children a place in one of the childhood care institutions. The State’s efforts to cope with the problem have been undermined by massive immigration and have left the country’s citizens in utter dismay.
02/06/2017
Social inequality is not an issue for German retirement system
The German pension system is only an average performer among OECD countries and has to go through further reforms. A good starting point might be erasing the privileges of the civil servants.
13/04/2017
Erdoğan’s months of long knives on the way to the Turkish constitutional referendum
In the last months the Turkish regime has carried out a strategy of silencing the “No” referendum campaigners axed on five targets (political opposition, Kurds, media, intellectuals and security agencies) to pave the way towards a strengthened authoritarian rule.
11/04/2017
The clock is ticking for Turkish secularization and EU membership
Turkey is heading towards a controversial referendum on constitutional changes that will concentrate powers in the office of Presidency. If passed, the reform would lead to an authoritarian shift in the country that would sweep away the Kemalist Revolution and strain the relationships with the EU and NATO in a heartbeat.
20/03/2017
Is Germany a modern Atlas capable of holding up the task of giving the refugees a job?
Since the outburst of the refugee crisis, few EU member states have been on the front line in the rescue and reception of asylum seekers. The next challenge ahead for the destination countries is represented by the integration of the immigrants into the national labour markets.
06/03/2017
Can the Caterpillar of the new Syrian Constitution become a butterfly?
The last significant step in Syria’s thorny path towards the end of the conflict that has devastated the country for the last six years was the peace talks held last February in Astana, Kazakhstan, which welcomed representatives from the Syrian government, the opposition and envoys from Iran, Russia and Turkey, the three major foreign powers leading the negotiations with UN assent.
Briefings 20-40 »

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Abu Sayyaf Afghanistan Alberto Caballero Algeria Alicia Jensen Al-Qaeda anarchist Andre Burstin Ansar Al-Islam Ansar Bait Al-Maqdis Ansar Dine Ansarullah anti-Balaka Anton Sehnaoui AQIM AQIS AQMI Argentine Arras Arthur de Liedekerke Australia Axelle Vandendriessche Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgique Belgium Beyrouth BIFF Blaise Ortiz Boko Haram Brazil Bruxelles Burkina Faso Burundi Cadente Copper Cameroon Canada CAR Central African Republic Central Asia Chili China civil unrest civil war Claude Moniquet Colombia Compaoré Coree corruption Cosa Nostra coup Defence Denmark Di Natala Diplomacy Djihad islamique Dos Santos DRC drones drugs Egypt Egypte Eliska Puckova ELSE energy ESISC Etat Islamique Etats Unis Etats-Unis Ethiopia ETIM Europe European Union Evgenia Gvozdeva Extremism FARC far-right Finland Foteini Fragkou France Gaza Genovefa Etienne Germany green economy Guerrero hacking Hamas hassan nasrallah Hezbollah Human Rights India Insurgency Intelligence Iran Iraq Islamic State Islamism Ismail Haniyeh Israel Italy Japan jihad Jo Biden Kashmir Kazakhstan Kieran Doyle Korea Koweit Lashkar-e-Taiba Lazarevic Leah Kazar Leandro Di Natala Lebanon l'Etat Islamique Lhoussain Azergui Liban Libya Loucheur Louise Schabelmann Mali Mapuche Mattia Caniglia Mexico migrants MILF Mohamed Fahmi Morocco Morsi Najib Mikati NATO netanyahu Nieto Nigeria North Africa nucleaire Olivia de Fouchier Olivier Loucheur Olympic Games Omar Harfouch organised crime Pakistan Palestinian territories Paris Pauline Ravillard Peru Petrobras Philippines Pierre-Alexis Quenot piracy Pluspetrol Political risk Politics Post-Soviet Countries President Pierre Nkurunziza protests Qatar Rachel Larned Raphaël Ramos Rauf Tuzun refugees Russia Rwanda Ryad Salameh Sahel Sarah Baudinet Saudi Arabia sectarian violence Seleka shipping Sinai Solene Jomier Solène Metais Somali state Somalia South Africa Spain Stefano Sarsale Sudan Suez Canal Sweden Syria Syrie Tajikistan Taliban Terrorism terrorisme terrorist terrorists Tia Maria project Tsahal Tunisia Tunisie Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom United Nations United States Uyghur Uyghur Muslims Venezuela video Vietnam waterway William Racimora Xinjiang Yeme Yemen Yuliana Lefevre

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